The National League Division Series continues Wednesday as Brave hosts it Phillies for Game 2 in Atlanta and the Dodgers hosts it Padres in Los Angeles.
The Phillies have a 1-0 series lead over the higher-seeded Braves after Max Fried fumbled Tuesday in his first start of this postseason. Despite a ninth-inning rally by the Atlanta bats, they fell 7-6 to the hard-hitting Phillies. The sixth-seeded Phillies are now favored at SI Sportsbook to win the series (-152).
The Dodgers also have a 1-0 series lead after covering our run line bet in their 5-3 win. The Dodgers remain heavy favorites to win the series (-500).
But today is a new day! Anything can happen in baseball – that’s what makes it great. If you want in on the action, here are two bets to target for each of today’s Game 2 matchups in the NLDS.
Bet on Phillies-Braves and Padres-Dodgers at SI Sportsbook
- Money Line: PHI (+120) | ATL (-143)
- Execution line: PHI +1.5 (-175) | ATL -1.5 (+145)
- Total: 7.5 – Over (+100) | Under (-118)
- Game info: October 12, 2022 | 4:35 p.m. ET | Fox
BET: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (+120)
There’s a part of me that says there’s no way the Braves can lose two in a row at home to the Phillies, but when I look at the pitching matchup the edge goes to the Phillies ace Zack Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA). If you follow my baseball betting, you know I like to target co-money and this fits the bill. Wheeler had a 2.82 regular season average while striking out 9.59 batters per nine innings. The Braves posted a 24.6% K rate during the regular season (third highest) and that bodes well for Wheeler. Wheeler’s opponent is Kyle Wright (21-5, 3.19), who has been very strong for the Braves but allows a lot of hard contact and gives up too many free passes. His 2.65 BB rate could lead to trouble against this tough Phillies lineup. The Phillies bullpen could explode and save the Braves, but I’ll take a shot at plus-money.
BET: Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Hits (+185)
Yes, I’m betting against a .277 hitter with 25 home runs this season. There’s a reason they’re co-money. Swanson only has 10 hits against Wheeler t in 71 at bats (.139.) Again, the bullpen could throw this one for us, but it’s worth a shot.
- Money Line: SDP (+155) | LAD (-188)
- Execution line: SDP +1.5 (-133) | LAD -1.5 (+110)
- Total: 7 – Up (-118) | Under (+100)
- Game info: October 12, 2022 | 8:37 p.m. ET | FS1
BET: Under 7 Runs (+100)
Both pitchers dominate with Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10) with a 31.7% K rate against this Dodgers lineup and Clayton Kershaw (12-3. 2.28) with a 27.5% percentage against the Padres. I trust the Dodgers relievers to keep the runs to a minimum. The Dodgers’ bullpen had the second-lowest regular season ERA (2.87) The Padres’ relievers are less reliable (3.83), but let’s live a little. If they get the lead, the bullpen has a 73.8% save rate. There is no hook, so I buy.
BET: Will Smith Under 0.5 strokes (+140)
Dodgers catcher Will Smith has just two career hits against Darvish (.133). Darvish could go deep in this game and that leaves only one reliever to take over. I like this plus money bet.
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Check out the latest odds from SI Sportsbook
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